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时事经纬
20-06-09

德黑兰数千示威者与警方发生冲突

警察星期六使用催泪瓦斯、警棍和高压水龙试图驱散数以千计的抗议者。穆萨维星
期六晚间向伊朗最高立法机构发出一份声明,再次要求宣布选举无效。伊朗安全委
员会说,非法集会造成的后果将由穆萨维负责。另外,官方媒体星期六报导说,一
名怀疑是自杀式炸弹手在一个纪念已故伊朗伊斯兰革命领袖霍梅尼的圣坛附近引爆
炸弹,炸死袭击者本人,炸伤至少3人。

伊朗改革派宣布停止一切示威游行活动

伊朗最高领袖哈梅内伊19日发表了支持当选总统内贾德的讲话,并警告反对大选结
果的人要为自己的过激行为而导致流血负法律责任。穆萨维当天立即发表讲话表示
停止20日和21日的抗议行动。19日早些时候,伊朗内政部拒绝了穆萨维要求在20日
举行抗议游行的申请。报道表示,穆萨维曾打著标语牌参加18在德黑兰举行的大游
行,当时他表示要在20日下午举行更大规模的抗议活动,并发表讲话,届时改革派
许多有影响的人士会参加,其中包括前总统哈塔米。

伊朗反对派计划举行新示威

败选总统候选人卡鲁比的一位助理对记者说,原订星期六举行的示威并没有取消,
将会如期进行。败选的反对派总统候选人穆萨维的支持者也在计划举行大型集会。
穆萨维的支持者几乎每天都在示威,谴责这次选举。

奥巴马:世界正注视伊朗
 
奥巴马说,德黑兰怎样对待那些以和平方法表达意见的人,真正反映伊朗是怎么样
的一个国家。

伊拉克基尔库克卡车爆炸百多人死伤

伊拉克警方表示,在接近北部基尔库克市的一起卡车炸弹爆炸事件,导致约50人死
亡,160人受伤。很多死伤者都是在周六(6月20日)中午一家什叶派清真寺参加聚
祷后离开的民众。这家清真寺由土库曼少数族裔社区所管理。这起攻击发生之际,
正是美军部队准备从伊拉克城镇撤出的时候。爆炸发生数小时前,伊拉克总理马利
基表示美军撤出的计划如期进行,他称之为"重大胜利"。

美国驻伊大使称美作战部队将如期从伊拉克城镇撤出

美国驻伊拉克大使克里斯托弗 希尔18日在这里说,奥巴马政府将根据美伊两国政
府此前达成的协议如期于6月30日前将美军作战部队从伊拉克城镇撤出,美方希
望同伊拉克建立“长期的和成功的”关系。

希尔当天在国务院举行的新闻发布会上说,美方将“绝对全面遵守”美伊安全协定
规定的义务,于6月30日前将作战部队从伊拉克所有城镇撤出。他说,美军作战
部队实际已从绝大多数伊城镇撤出,首都巴格达和北部城市摩苏尔将是最后一批撤
出的城镇。

美国参议院4月22日以73票赞成、23票反对的表决结果通过了希尔出任美国驻伊拉克
大使的议案。瑞安克罗克是美国驻伊拉克前任大使,他从2007年3月就职,一直到今
年2月才卸任。

美国驻伊拉克大使瑞安克罗克反对奥巴马政府贸然撤军

以色列外长认为和平前景良好

利伯曼星期五说,以色列准备立即开始展开和巴勒斯坦人的对话,但是会谈应当在
没有先决条件的情况进行。利伯曼表示,定居点不是实现和平的障碍,这个问题正
在被那些试图逃避谈判的人当作借口。利伯曼表示以色列赞同奥巴马政府实现中东
和平的愿景。

驻日美军宙斯盾舰或已出动追踪朝鲜船只
 
美军正考虑使用部署在日本横须贺基地的宙斯盾舰“约翰·S·麦凯恩”号对朝鲜船
只“Kang Nam”号实施货物检查。据称该舰已经驶往周边海域。目前美国还没有下
达实施检查的命令,为了避开中国的参与,可能在“Kang Nam”离开中国近海后决
定检查。根据联合国安理会决议对货物检查的规定,若未得到朝鲜方面的同意,美
军将不能在公海上实施检查。美军可能将在“Kang Nam”入港补充燃料前保持追踪,
在入港后说服当地政府实施检查。

新加坡可能扣押朝鲜货轮

新加坡说,如果朝鲜货轮江南号开往新加坡港口的话,将遭到该国的扣押。
江南号货轮被怀疑运载被禁的武器、导弹部件或核材料。本周美军一直在中国近海
附近对江南号进行空中追踪,据报它正朝著新加坡方向行进。这是联合国对朝鲜的
最新禁令实施以来的首次监视行动。平壤称拦截朝鲜在海上的船只,将被视为战争
行动。这次对江南号的追踪以及可能的扣押,将是对朝鲜强硬态度的一次考验。

巴战机轰炸南瓦济里斯坦

巴基斯坦派送部队及战斗机到动荡不安的南瓦济里斯坦地区,这是针对巴基斯坦的
塔利班首领马哈苏德的新攻击的第一步。巴基斯坦官员说,战斗机星期五轰炸了比
怀疑是马哈苏德据点的地方,同时部队与激进份子在地面上交火。

美国13州失业率超过10%

5月美国48个州和哥伦比亚特区的失业率都出现恶化,只有内布拉斯加州和佛蒙特州
没有报告数字增长。13个州以及首都的失业率都在10%以上,超过5月份全国平均水
平。5月份全国失业率为9.4%,是美国25年多来的最高水平。彭博通讯社的报导指出,
严重依赖制造业、建筑业和金融服务业的几个州,失业率增长最大。华盛顿智囊团
经济政策研究所的所长劳伦斯.米舍尔说,根据以前经济衰退的数据分析,这样的高
失业率还会持续下去很长一段时间,可能会更高。

全球有十亿多人处于饥饿状态

联合国粮农组织最近的报告称,世界上有超过10亿人口处于史无前例的饥饿状态。
报告把陷于饥饿的状况归咎于全球经济危机以及高涨的粮食价格。报告指出,和去
年相比,今年陷于饥饿的人口增加了1亿。饥民是每天进食不到1800卡路里的人。报
告指出,尽管2009年谷物收成很好而且粮食价格稍微下降,但饥饿人口依旧在增加。

该报告预测,金融危机很可能对都市的贫穷人口打击最严重,并且可能促使数百万
民众回到农村,对农业社区及其资源带来更大压力。联合国粮农组织警告说,饥饿
危机严重危及世界和平及安全。该报告特别提到,去年的主要粮食,例如稻米和玉
米,价格飞涨,这在一些贫穷国家造成骚乱。

该报告表示,绝大部分的饥饿人口,即6亿4千200万人居住在亚洲以及太平洋区域。
然而,饥饿人口比率最高的地方位于撒哈拉沙漠以南的非洲地区。在那里,2亿6千
500万人民营养不足。这代表有三分之一的人口处于饥饿之中。

Truck Bomb Kills Dozens in Northern Iraq

A suicide truck bomb exploded in a volatile region of northern Iraq on Saturday, killing at least 69 people and wounding nearly 200 more, even as Prime Minister Nuri Kamal al-Maliki pledged that attacks like it would not stop or slow the withdrawal of American troops. The British government said the bodies of two men, believed to be among five Britons kidnapped by Shiite militants in 2007, had been turned over to British authorities in Baghdad.

Mr. Maliki warned that “those who move in the dark” wanted “to affect the upcoming elections on the behalf of malicious motives and destructive goals.” As he has in recent weeks, he also championed a June 30 deadline for the withdrawal of most American combat forces from Iraq’s cities — though he referred only broadly to “foreign forces” on Saturday, as he has been wont to do lately — and called the date both a day of “national unity” and “national challenge.”

He vowed that the latest attacks would not force Iraq to reconsider the deadline for American withdrawals, negotiated under the security agreement that took effect this year and affirmed by President Obama when he visited Iraq briefly in April, even if attacks continued. “Even those who were talking about getting the occupiers start to call for keeping foreign troops,” he said, without specifying whom, “but we are saying to them that those forces cannot stay.” He urged Iraqis not to “be upset if a violation happens here or there” and pledged that the government would maintain security. “We will not retreat,” he said.

Suicide bombing leaves 3 injured in Tehran

A terrorist bombing attack has targeted the mausoleum of Imam Khomeini in southern Tehran, wounding three pilgrims at the site. The suicide bomber himself was killed in the blast that rocked the northern entrance of the shrine of the founder of the Islamic Revolution, Imam Khomeini, on Saturday, IRNA reported. The report added that two of the wounded are Arab nationals who suffered minor injuries. The third casualty was an Iranian citizen.

Protestors stage illegal rally in Tehran

Despite warnings by Iranian police, protesters have staged an illegal rally in Tehran to cry foul over what they call 'vote-rigging' in Iran's presidential election. Police used batons and water canons to disperse the protesters who gathered near Tehran's Enqelab Square on Saturday. Sporadic clashes were reported between security forces and the protesters.

On Saturday, Iran's deputy police commander warned against any illegal gatherings, saying police would firmly deal with any illegal rallies from now on and those who plan such activities would be prosecuted. "I should emphasize that all protests held in the past week were illegal and beginning today any gathering critical of the election would be illegal," said acting Police Chief Brigadier General Ahmad-Reza Radan. "Police will deal with the protest firmly and with determination. Those who provoke street protests should know that they will be arrested and prosecuted."

Iran's Security Council has also warned  Mousavi against 'the consequences' of street rallies.

Disputed election divides Iranian clergy

White House Resists Calls for a Tougher Stance on Iran

Mr. Obama was determined to react to events as they unfold, rather than make statements that might play well politically but hinder his longer-term foreign-policy goals. The administration still hopes to pursue diplomatic engagement with Iran on its nuclear program-- a bloody crackdown would scramble the administration’s calculations.  Administration officials note that their muted response has not prevented the turnout at protests from growing by the day.

Iran council warns Mousavi against rallies

Iran's Security Council has warned defeated presidential candidate Mir-Hossein Mousavi against 'the consequences' of backing street rallies. "It is your duty not to incite and invite the public to illegal gatherings; otherwise, you will be responsible for its consequences," Iran's Security Council, a body affiliated with the Interior Ministry replied Mousavi's letter in which he had criticized the law enforcement forces for failing to prevent attacks on protestors during the street rallies. "It is your responsibility to prevent the public from attending such rallies instead of making accusations against the law enforcement," it added. "We believe this is an organized network which is most probably affiliated to foreign-related groups and deliberately disturbs the peace and security of the public. Of course we have already ordered the law enforcement forces to deal with the issue," read the letter.

Council ready to recount 10% of votes

Iran's Guardian Council says it is ready to recount a random 10 percent of the ballot boxes in the last Friday's presidential election. "Although the Guardian Council is not legally obliged ... we are ready to recount 10 percent of the (ballot) boxes randomly in the presence of representatives of the candidates," the electoral watchdog's spokesman, Abbas-Ali Kadkhodayi said on Saturday.

Kadkhodayi was scheduled to hold a meeting with the three defeated candidates in the presidential election -- Mir-Hossein Mousavi, Mohsen Rezaei and Mehdi Karroubi. However, only Rezaei attended the meeting.

Ya'alon: Iran heading for a revolution

Strategic Affairs Minister Moshe Ya'alon believes Iran is heading for a revolution but doesn't think it will have any affect on the country's nuclear program.

"Since I was head of Military Intelligence, I have said, and I say it again now, that some 70 percent of Iranians are opposed to the ayatollah regime," Ya'alon said at a 'Shabbatarbut' event in Modi'in on Saturday. "[Opposition leader Mir Hossein] Mousavi and his wife have brought a new spirit of openness, and so I repeat - there will be a revolution in Iran."

"It's impossible to hide the energy there now, and the Iranian regime is going to have to take that into consideration," he continued. "It makes no difference regarding the nuclear issue, but this regime will fall."

Iran council hears poll complaints

Iran's highest legislative body is holding an extraordinary session with Mir Hossein Mousavi and two other candidates who are questioning the election victory of President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad.

Abbasali Kadkhodai, a council spokesman, said: "We are urging candidates to avoid any remarks which can disturb public opinion until the Guardian Council carries out its final investigation."

Alireza Ronaghi, Al Jazeera's correspondent in the capital, Tehran, said that it was likely that the meeting would bring only minor changes to the poll outcome.

"I think the Guardian Council intends to review all of the complaints," he said. "In some of those cases, there are some obvious irregularities and I am sure that they will be addressed. I'm sure some of the ballot boxes will be annulled and they will be deducted from the results. "But ... I find it very unlikely that there will be major change in the final result."

On Friday, a Mousavi ally said he would not call on his supporters to demonstrate. "Mousavi has no plans to hold a rally tomorrow or the day after tomorrow," he said. However, his supporters protested last Tuesday despite Mousavi requesting that they refrain from doing so.

Ronaghi reported: "One of the main reformist cleric formations, the Association of Combatant Clerics, has been asking for permission to hold a rally nationwide on Saturday.

"But apparently some of their members have come out and said that the supreme leader's comments are the final call and whatever he says must be obeyed.

"So at the moment, no one knows. The thing is the people who hold the rallies have not been the best followers in listening to Mousavi on whether to go out or not.

"It is up to the people as to whether they will go out or not."

Israel's deployments in Lebanon raise tension

The Lebanese Army has condemned recent Israeli deployments inside Lebanon's borders, saying that it will follow up the move through international bodies.

The army said in a statement on Friday that the recent erection of an observation post and a military facility by Israel on the outskirts of the Kfar Shouba Hills of Lebanon is against the international resolutions and also against the United Nations' frontier line between Lebanon and Israel.

Responding to the Israeli violation of Lebanese territory Lebanon called the action “provocative” and deployed its own army units in the area on Friday.

"In a clear violation of a restricted area of Lebanese territory, and in an attempt to impose a new reality on the ground, the Israeli enemy on Wednesday set up an observation post at the edge of Kfar Shouba and a military position overlooking Baathaeel pond, violating the imaginary line that (UNIFIL) delineated anew, which it considers to be the Israeli withdrawal line," said the statement, making reference to the Blue Line designated by the UN in 2000.

"Given this provocative stance, Lebanese Army units in the region deployed patrols along the border," it added. The army said it was following up on Israel's violation with UNIFIL officials in order "to resolve this urgent situation", The Daily Star reported.

Israel seized control of the Farms in 1967, when it also captured the Syrian Golan Heights.

UN Resolution 1701 was adopted in August 2006 following Israel's 33-day war against Lebanon. The resolution binds Israel to pull its forces out of the village of Ghajar and the Kfar Shouba Hills.

Iran's Ayatollah under threat?

Since Mahmoud Ahmadinejad was declared runaway winner of the presidential election last week, Iran has seen a daily wave of opposition demonstrations, police crackdowns and violence. Not since the 1979 Islamic Revolution when Ayatollah Ruhollah Khomeini overthrew the shah has Iranian society been so rattled and divided.

According to the Iranian constitution, the Guardians of the Constitution are supposed to monitor and sign off on election results. After the votes have been counted and the winner announced by the interior ministry, the Guardians have the responsibility to endorse the result within 10 days if there are no complaints from the defeated candidates. The president-elect is then confirmed and later sworn in by Iran's supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei.

But last week's election did not follow these procedures.

Despite complaints by Mir Hossein Mousavi, Mehdi Karroubi and Mohsen Rezaei, the opposition candidates, Ayatollah Khamaenei congratulated Ahmadinejad in a public speech and pointed out that he had got 14 million votes more than the first time he was elected president four years ago.

Opposition anger

The pronouncement, together with a self-congratulatory victory rally in which Ahmadinejad branded the supporters of the defeated candidates as "floating bushes", infuriated opposition supporters and they took to the streets in Tehran and other major cities.

The establishment backed by militias and special forces beat demonstrators and arrested scores of prominent opposition figures, journalists, students and lawyers.

Khamenei maintained his silence for two days before urging the opposing sides not to anger each other by making explosive comments at a private meeting of the candidates' representatives.

He asked the opposition candidates to lodge their complaints to the Guardians of the Constitution for consideration - an indirect admission that the correct procedure had not been followed following the election.

The Guardians of the Constitution later announced they would consider the complaints and admitted a partial recount of the election results may be necessary.

Observers believe the moves by the conservative Guardians of the Constitution, who are known to support Ahmadinejad, were just to calm down anti-government supporters.

Still, they have promised to meet all the defeated presidential candidates on June 20 and take all their complaints into consideration.

Many moderate clerics, some of whom are believed to be members of the powerful Assembly of Experts, have questioned the wisdom of Khamenei in hastily endorsing Ahmadinejad's "victory".

The Assembly, which selects the country's supreme leader, is chaired by Ayatollah Hashemi Rafsanjani who is considered by many as one of the pillars of the Islamic Revolution.

He was the man behind the election of Khamenei as supreme leader soon after the death of Ayatollah Ruhollah Khomeni in 1989.

In theory at least, the Assembly has the constitutional right to question and even replace the supreme leader.

'Not impartial'

Some influential moderate clerics privately admit that Khamenei has not done "justice" to the presidential candidates and has not treated them with impartiality.
This behaviour, they believe, could jeopardise his position as leader since one of the main qualities required of the supreme leader is "justice".

Rafsanjani is also the chairman of the Expediency Council which is a body charged with the power to resolve differences or conflicts between parliament and the Guardians of the Constitution, but its true power lies more in its power to oversee the supreme leader.

It is a well-known fact that there is a lot of bad blood between Ahmadinejad and Rafsanjani whom the president accuses of corruption and aristocratic behaviour.

Ahmadinejad angered Rafsanjani when in his presidential television debate with Mousavi, he alleged that all the three opposition candidates had been put forward by Rafsanjani to defeat him.

He further accused Rafsanjani of unlawfully accumulating massive wealth over many years and putting his cronies in the way of the president.

The allegations prompted Rafsanjani to write a highly critical open letter to Khamenei, which the supreme leader ignored.

Public rift

The result has been serious public rift within the establishment and many observers believe Rafsanjani may be encouraging the ferment among supporters of the opposition presidential candidates.

Mohammed Khatami, the former Iranian reformist president, has also been serving in the ranks of the "green movement" of Mousavi, who together with fellow candidate Karroubi, have been calling for the annulment of the election which they believe was rigged by Ahmadinejad supporters.

All this leaves Khamenei in a very difficult situation.

He is unlikely to either accuse the opposition supporters of being mercenaries of "foreign powers" as Ahmadinejad supporters have done.

Nor is he likely to agree to their demand that the election result be cancelled or to have an impartial election fact-finding body set up.

Instead, Khamenei, who is to give a sermon after Friday prayers at Tehran University, is likely to invite both sides to unite and accept the results of the votes or risk jeopardising the Islamic revolution and state.

But Mousavi and his supporters are just as unlikely to stop their protests until they have achieved their goal.

The deep frustration and disillusionment of the mainly urban supporters of Mousavi, together with the establishment rifts now out in the open, are posing a serious threat to Khamenei's authority.

That may benefit Rafsanjani, who aspires to become the next supreme leader, and rumours abound that he is trying to muster support among some influential clerical members of the Assembly of Experts to take Khamenei to task.

This may prove difficult, however, considering that there is still the well-armed and powerful Iranian Revolutionary Guard – that some say are the country's de facto rulers - to contend with.