时事经纬
13-05-09
美军将再次在冲绳临时部署F-22A战机
美国空军12日宣布将从本月起在冲绳县嘉手纳基地临时部署12架最尖端隐形战斗机
F-22A“猛禽”，部署时间为约4个月。此次部署的战机来自美国弗吉尼亚州兰利空
军基地。此外获悉，关岛基地也将部署12架来自美国阿拉斯加州的战机。
巴基斯坦塔利班袭击北约仓库
塔利班毁坏了巴基斯坦西北部城市白沙瓦郊外的货物终点处理站的8辆汽车。
《读卖新闻》5月11日公布的民意调查结果
民主党支持率微弱领先于自民党，30％的受访选民表示将在众议院选举中投票支持民主党，支持自民党的为27％。71％的受访选民反对小泽留任民主党代表，支持他留任的只有22%。调查显示，麻生内阁支持率为28.7％。
日俄将共同调查东西伯利亚油田原油蕴藏量
日本JOGMEC12日宣布，将对俄罗斯东西伯利亚地区的油田蕴藏量进行调查。这是日俄共同开发项目，日方力争从该地区进口原油。JOGMEC将与当地的伊尔库茨克石油公司成立合资公司，共同在两块矿区进行采矿作业，双方的出资比率分别为49%与51%。调查将进行至2013年，项目总额约150亿日元。
普京发出最强暗示 考虑重新入主克里姆林宫
美住房遭没收比例持续增高
美国各地上个月家庭住房接到银行没收通知的数量，继三月份之后，持续在破记录
的水平。全美各地总共有34万两千多个家庭受到没收通知。在各个州当中，内华达
州比例最高，平均每68户人家就有一家接到了房产即将被没收的通知。佛罗里达州
名列第二，每135家当中，就有一家接到了通知，加利福尼亚州紧随其后，每138家
当中，就有一家接到了通知。
美房屋价格下跌贸易赤字恶化
美国房屋价格今年头3个月下跌了14%。美国50个州中除了6个州之外其他所有州的房屋价格都有所下降。由于银行收回房屋出售时为了迅速脱手通常大打折扣，
房屋业主拖欠房屋贷款的房产被强制出售时的价格也被压低。
由于全球经济不景气，对美国的出口需求减少，3月份美国贸易赤字增加了5%以上
。美国进出贸易逆差当月上升到276亿美元。这是8个月来贸易赤字第一次增加。
房地美再索要61亿美元政府注资
Freddie
Mac公布第一财季亏损98.5亿美元，主要受住房抵押贷款违约成本上升拖累；该公司表示，需要从美国财政部再获得61亿美元注资。
IMF：欧洲经济将进入深度衰退
由于信心丧失以及全球需求下降，欧洲经济进入深度衰退，并有进一步加剧的风险。IMF预测，欧洲整体经济今年将收缩4.2%，明年收缩0.1%；欧元区国内GDP2009年下滑4%，而欧洲新兴经济体将收缩4.9%。
油价突破60美元
原油价格周二早盘一度突破每桶60美元关口。投资者纷纷舍弃现金而投资原油对油
价上涨起了推波助澜作用，他们预计经济即将复苏以及美元将会走软，因而愿意承
担更多风险。中国周二公布了接近历史最高规模的石油进口数据，表明中国政府的
大规模经济刺激举措正在重振石油消费。中国4月份的石油进口较上年同期增长近14%。美国政府的数据显示，美国汽油消耗量较上年同期下降4%。
Taliban warns Pakistani politicians
The Taliban in Pakistan has warned politicians from the Swat
valley that they and their families will be attacked unless
they quit their posts protesting against the continuing army
offensive in the troubled region. The warning came hours
after suspected Taliban fighters attacked Nato supply trucks
at a transport terminal near the northwestern city of
Peshawar, destroying eight vehicles. Imran Khan said the
warning signalled a "dark turn" in the unfolding events in
Swat where the Pakistani army is battling Taliban fighters.
"They can make these threats and people will take them very
seriously."
Pakistan Says 1.3 Million Flee Fight With Taliban
The exodus, if it proves to be as large as the government
says, would be one of the largest migrations of civilians in
the region since the partition of India and Pakistan in
1947, when as many as 14 million people left their homes for
one of the newly independent countries.
The Pakistani government and relief agencies have set up a
string of camps and food distribution centers in the area,
but not nearly enough to accommodate all the people who need
them. On Monday, Prime Minister Yousaf Raza Gilani appealed
to foreign countries to help Pakistan deal with the human
tide. On Tuesday, the United Nations said it was sending 120
tons of emergency supplies to Pakistan to help with the flow
of refugees.
Pope talks 'terrorism', Palestinian state in Israel
Pope Benedict XVI throws his weight behind the idea of a
sovereign Palestinian homeland but shows tacit support for
Western talk of Palestinian "terrorism".
"The Holy See supports the right of your people to a
sovereign Palestinian homeland in the land of your
forefathers, secure and at peace with its neighbors, within
internationally recognized borders," the Pope said Wednesday
as he entered the West bank city of Bethlehem.
He also offered his sympathy for the families of those who
lost their lives or properties in the latest Israeli
offensive against the Gaza Strip, which left nearly 1,350
Palestinians killed and thousands wounded.
"I know how much you have suffered and continue to suffer as
a result of the turmoil that has afflicted this land for
decades. My heart goes out to all the families who have lost
so much," he continued.
The pontiff also unveiled plans to visit a refugee camp that
houses Palestinian families who were driven out of their
homes in 1948.
"To those among you who mourn the loss of family members and
loved ones in the hostilities, particularly the recent
conflict in Gaza, I offer an assurance of deep compassion
and frequent remembrance in prayer," said the Pope.
Although the pontiff refrained from acknowledging that the
establishment of Israel has unleashed 61 years of aggression
upon the Palestinian nation, he did put direct focus on the
Palestinian retaliations that have emerged in recent years.
"Have the courage to resist any temptation you may feel to
resort to acts of violence or terrorism…Instead, let what
you have experienced renew your determination to build
peace," he said.
Palestinian youths, the Pope said, must not "allow the loss
of life and the destruction that you have witnessed to
arouse bitterness or resentment in your hearts."
The 82-year-old pontiff -- whose agenda in the Middle East
is to bring the followers of Christianity, Islam and Judaism
together -- will wrap up his first official visit to the
West Bank on Friday when he is scheduled to fly back to
Rome.
Russian President endorses national security strategy until
2020
The preamble of the document notes that prerequisites have
been formed to prevent threats to Russia's national
security. Russia is on the way of becoming one of the
leading powers in terms of technological progress, standards
of living of the population and influence upon world
processes.
According to the strategy, the main threat to Russia's
national security is the policy pursued by certain leading
states, which is aimed at attaining military superiority
over Russia, in the first place in strategic nuclear forces.
Asia Watches Warily As China's Navy Grows
'Ahmadinejad's popularity rises in Iran'
A government survey conducted earlier this month showed that
Ahmadinejad had 53.6% support, with Mousavi securing almost
the same backing. According to a recent poll, 44.8% of
Teheran residents would vote for Ahmadinejad's while some
29% would cast their ballots in favor of Mousavi. On
Tuesday, Iran's supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei,
implicitly backed Ahmadinejad.
Supreme Leader: Ulema should get updated in dealing with
affairs
The global arrogance resorts to military actions and modern
mass media to attain its goals and the role of Ulema in
dealing with such a complicated situation is of prime
importance, said Ayatollah Khamenei.
The enemies spare no efforts to mislead the youth, students
and university students, said the Supreme Leader and advised
the clerics to properly and timely confront them.
Iran’s significant progress and development has prompted the
enemies to sow seeds of discords between Shiites and Sunnis
to create obstacles on the way of development of the Iranian
nation, pointed out the Supreme Leader.
Understanding Iran's Deterrence Game
Over the past five years, in public and government
documents, the hard-liners have established a doctrine of
deterrence that calls for a disproportionate response
against the United States and Israel in the event of any
attack on Iran's nuclear facilities, no matter how limited.
The doctrine stipulates that anything less than a
large-scale response would risk the credibility of the
Iranian regime — and its survival. And importantly it does
not draw a distinction between Israel and the United States,
if for no other reason than Israeli jets having to fly
across American-controlled Iraqi airspace to hit Iran.
Iran's deterrence doctrine is largely authored by Iran's
Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps, a wing of Iran's military
charged with the protection of the regime. The doctrine is
grounded in Iran's experience and study of four wars: the
Iran-Iraq war (1980-88), Hizballah's war against Israel
(1982-2000 and 2006), the Gulf War (1991) and the Iraq War
(2003).
Iran's deterrence doctrine consists of four components:
1) The United Nations, including the International Atomic
Energy Agency, cannot deter an attack on Iran — no matter
the degree of Iran's openness or compliance on nuclear
inspections. Saddam Hussein cooperated with the U.N. and rid
himself of weapons of mass destruction, but in the end it
did nothing to stop an American invasion. Submission to a
strict U.N. monitoring regime will only serve to degrade
Iran's national security.
2) Iran will fight the war against Israel and the U.S.
outside Iran's border, and Iran alone must determine the
area of operations. Saddam Hussein lost his country and his
life because he chose to resist the U.S. within Iraq's
borders. Iran will respond to an Israeli attack by attacking
the U.S. and its allies in Iraq, Afghanistan, Lebanon, Gaza,
the West Bank and the Persian Gulf countries. Just as Iran
makes clear with bellicose threats by President Ahmadinejad
that it would destroy Israel if the U.S. launched an attack,
it aims to deter an Israeli attack by stressing the price
American forces would have to pay in return.
3) The Iranian regime is capable of sustaining massive U.S.
reprisal attacks without falling. In 1991 Saddam's army
suffered a catastrophic defeat, the backbone of its army and
air force destroyed, a loss of much of the southern part of
the country south to Shi'a insurgents, but Saddam held on
and remained in power. The Iranian regime believes it can
weather the same degree of losses, especially as it has
adequately prepared its populace for "martyrdom." As a
result, it believes it is able to withstand much greater
human and material losses than the U.S. A $100-a-barrel
spike in the price of oil and a few thousand Americans dead,
its thinking goes, will convince the U.S. to seek a truce.
4. It is well-prepared for a long, costly war. Iran learned
how to fight an asymmetrical guerilla war in the 1982-2000
conflict in Lebanon, learning that lightly armed, small,
mobile units can beat a larger enemy. Secondly, Iran knows
it needs to eliminate any potential fifth column. Saddam's
failure to destroy the Iraqi opposition, in particular the
Kurdish groups in the north, called into doubt the Iraqi
regime's legitimacy. It facilitated the notion that "the
Iraqi people" had asked for a foreign invasion to deliver
them from Saddam. Iran's crackdown on student dissidents,
foreign journalists and dissident political movements should
be viewed in this context.
Not all Iranians, of course, agree with the hard-liners'
deterrence doctrine, but they do not have a voice in Iran's
national security. Iran's Supreme Leader Ayatullah Ali
Khamenei, the Revolutionary Guard and other hard-liners
alone determine Iran's national-security policies. And as
Israel and the U.S. calculate the costs of attacking Iran's
nuclear facilities, they should realize that these decision
makers inside Iran have no thought of a limited response.
US firms allowed to invest in Iran oil
There is no barrier for the presence of foreign companies in
the Iranian oil industry, says the head of National Iranian
Oil Company (NIOC).
"The Islamic Republic has always welcomed the investment by
all foreign companies in Iranian oil, gas and petrochemical
projects, including US firms," Seyfollah Jashnsaaz said
Tuesday.
He said there would be no legal obstacle if US firms want to
negotiate over their investment in the Iranian oil industry,
adding that their return would benefit all parties.
Five American companies and dozens of European firms
participated last month in Iran's International Exhibition
of Oil, Gas and Petrochemicals.
Iranian First Vice President Parviz Davoudi said earlier
that US banks are among the international and foreign
financial institutions that have shown an interest in
opening branches in Iran.
"Several foreign companies are interested in investing in
many fields in Iran, including Iran's banking system, oil,
gas and energy," said Davoudi at the 14th International Oil,
Gas and Petrochemicals Exhibition in Tehran. |
