时事经纬
27-08-09
哈梅内伊：伊朗骚乱不涉外国势力
伊朗最高精神领袖哈梅内伊认为有关外国势力煽动的指控没能得到证明，但是“毫无疑问”示威是早有预谋的。哈梅内伊的声明称，“我们的敌人”仍不了解伊朗事务，所以其“阴谋”被击破。这些敌人被伊朗民众“赏了一记耳光”。
哈梅内伊的最新言论与强硬派的指控相违。目前，反对派的数名资深人物被起诉与外国势力勾结策动叛乱，有关审判仍在继续。强硬派还促请当局逮捕两位主要的反对派参选人穆萨维和拉夫桑贾尼。他们指称拉夫桑贾尼与美国和英国合作，企图使伊朗陷入动荡。哈梅内伊似乎是要让追随者克制。
以色列总理伦敦会晤美国中东特使
以色列总理内塔尼亚胡在伦敦与美国中东特使米切尔举行会谈，为重新启动中东和平进程做最后准备。内坦尼亚胡星期二在伦敦会晤了英国首相布朗，他在会晤时拒绝了英国提出的冻结东耶路撒冷犹太定居点建设的建议。内坦尼亚胡曾经保证，以色列不会再建新的犹太定居点。但是他说，已经在建造的定居点将继续修建，以利于那里的居民社团自然生长。美国总统奥巴马希望中东和平进程在下月底取得突破。
美俄计划建立 联合导弹监控中心
俄罗斯和美国计划成立一个导弹监控中心，避免双方发射导弹时出意外或误会引发冲突。新中心的地点可能位于莫斯科。这个中心允许莫斯科和华盛顿在出现意想不到的导弹发射时，能第一时间进行沟通，同时“在这种可能出现意外的情况下保护我们的国家”。俄罗斯过去一直强烈反对美国要在东欧建立导弹防御体系的计划。美国总统奥巴马上任后表明，美方正检讨这个计划，以舒缓莫斯科的担忧。
国际组织称美军审查阿富汗战地记者
一个记者组织说，美军正在对寻求在美军保护下进入阿富汗采访的记者进行背景审查。国际新闻工作者联合会星期三说，美国五角大楼目前使用一个公共关系公司来调查这些记者在他们的报导中是如何描述美军的。联合会秘书长怀特说，此举令人怀疑美军是否真的想协助记者在阿富汗自由地工作。国防部一位发言人说，美军以前雇用过一个外包公司来处理记者事务，但只是为了确定那些要和美军一起进入战区的记者所关注的是什么。发言人惠特曼否认美军是根据记者对美军的报导来决定是否批准他们的要求的。
《朝鲜日报》预测日本政权更迭 头版刊登鸠山夫妇合照
27日《朝鲜日报》在头版打出《距离新的日本还有3天》的标题，并刊登了民主党代表鸠山由纪夫夫妇的大幅合照。该报预测，30日投计票的日本众院选举中“自民党将遭遇毁灭性的惨败”，并指出日本社会正在关注选举后的新政权。该报还报道，“政权更迭已渐行渐近”，鸠山代表“已受到了首相级别的警卫”。该报还指出，从民间调查可以预测此次选举将有较高的投票率，“这在对政治关注度普遍较低的日本非常罕见。”
《纽约时报》报道称日本准备政权更迭
《纽约时报》26日头版“日本准备政权更迭”一文指出，日本选民预计将为自民党支配的政治体制画上句号，但同时也面临著政权更迭的真正意义何在的问题。文章指出日本民主党即便执政也将要面对如何支配官僚机构的“折骨之战”。文章还称:“对民主党的担忧特别集中在安全保障和外交经验不足上。”文章还说冈田在接受采访时表示日美关系整体上基本不变，不必担心。
中国将在白头山建设国际休养设施
包括大连万达集团在内的中国4大民资企业截至2012年投资200亿元，在吉林省白山市白头山国际旅游开发区建设规模达30平方公里的综合休养设施。该工程包括建设国际会议中心、六星级酒店、滑雪场、山林高尔夫场、山林别墅、电影院和狩猎场等多样娱乐设施，是由民资企业推进的单一娱乐设施开发项目，在中国规模最大。除休养设施以外，还将建造医院、学校、住宅等，打造一个具有自主功能的白头山休养设施，不仅是规模，在设施方面也将达到国际水平。
中国预防经济刺激计划导致产能过剩
中国官员采取措施确保政府5860亿美元的经济刺激计划不会导致一些主要行业产能过剩。中国国务院星期三说，将向包括钢铁和水泥业在内的一些主要行业提供更多的指导方针。有关官员说，他们还将限制对这些领域的投资。
中国政府：社会通胀预期最近有所增强
中国国家发展和改革委员会周四表示，尽管中国主要物价指数仍低于上年同期水平，但通货膨胀预期有所升温。少数商品价格有所上涨，与信贷高速增长、股市房市价格迅速回升等因素相互叠加，社会整体通货膨胀预期有所增强。
中国政府希望在经济复苏的同时预防通货膨胀预期出现反弹，特别是在即将迎来建国六十周年的敏感时期。但发改委的公告也强调称，当前价格总水平不会出现全面、持续、大幅上涨。
7月份中国的消费者价格指数(CPI)较上年同期下降1.8%，但与前月持平；7月份的生产者价格指数(PPI)下降8.2%，因石油等主要商品价格较上年同期大幅下降。
中国央行在周二公布的2008年年度报告中称，物价水平下降趋势将在近几个月持续，CPI可能将在下半年走稳。
伯南克新任期面临新挑战
伯南克下一个任期内面临两大挑战。首先，他必须将美国经济带出衰退，引入持续增长。在继续软化银行去杠杆化冲击的同时，保证未来通胀不会失控。纽约时报星期三的分析文章认为，过快地收紧货币政策，美联储将重返1937年大萧条过后扼杀经济复苏的错误；而行动过慢，美联储可能会制造出类似于70年代末的通货膨胀和资产泡沫。由于目前商业活动以及企业和消费者借贷仍然疲软，以及海外投资者仍把美国国债视为避险工具，因此伯南克在利率政策上仍然有一定的腾挪空间。
索罗斯:从根本上杜绝"金融机构的肆无忌惮"
雷曼兄弟破产后急转直下的世界经济，现在开始趋于稳定，股市开始上涨。世界经济出现止跌是因为各国政府出台了大规模的经济刺激政策--但效果有限--消费依旧低迷，失业率持续恶化，多数企业不能维持良性运转。世界经济在任何时候都有可能再次掀起波澜--企业在“反弹现象”的鼓舞下，大举增加库存。但如果企业业绩下滑，世界经济很可能第二次陷入低谷。
另一个可能性是发生通货膨胀--如果人们继续认为经济已经见底并开始恢复，或者人们期待经济会实现新的增长，那么资本的流动会再次失去控制，导致通货膨胀。 去年以来，各国实施了大规模的财政政策并大量增发国债，这种环境极易导致利率上涨。利率的高涨可能再次打击脆弱的经济，招致再一次破底。
最坏的情形是两种可能性同时发生。长期利率的猛然上涨将加速通货膨胀的形成，而经济则完全陷入疲软状态。世界经济有可能出现经济不景气但物价高涨的“滞涨”。2010年年初应该是一个分水岭。
Alleged Drug Ties of Top Afghan Official Worry U.S.
It was a heated debate during the Bush administration: What to do about evidence that Afghanistan’s powerful defense minister was involved in drug trafficking? Officials from the time say they needed him to help run the troubled country. Today the former defense minister, Marshal Muhammad Qasim Fahim, stands a strong chance of becoming the next vice president of Afghanistan.
In his bid for re-election, President Hamid Karzai of Afghanistan has surrounded himself with checkered figures who could bring him votes: warlords suspected of war crimes, corruption and trafficking in the country’s lucrative poppy crop. But none is as influential as Marshal Fahim, his running mate, whose trajectory in and out of power, and American favor, says much about the struggle the United States has had in dealing with corruption in Afghanistan.
As evidence of the tensions, Secretary of State Hillary Rodham Clinton bluntly told Mr. Karzai that running with Marshal Fahim would damage his standing with the United States and other countries, according to one senior administration official.
Now, the problem of how to grapple with Marshal Fahim adds to the complexity of managing an uneasy relationship with Mr. Karzai. Partial election results show Mr. Karzai leading other contenders, but allegations of fraud threaten to add to the credibility problems facing a second Karzai-led government.
Russia: Concern Over North Korean Missile Testing
Moscow is concerned that future North Korean missile tests could go awry, sending debris into Russian territory, and it is considering using surface-to-air missiles to protect against such “failed test launches,” Gen. Nikolai Makarov, the chief of Russia’s general staff, said during a visit to Mongolia on Wednesday. Moscow has stepped up its criticism of North Korea since May, when the North carried out an underground nuclear test, though Russian officials stopped short of endorsing the toughest sanctions favored by Washington. General Makarov told the Interfax news service that a battalion equipped with an antimissile system was already deployed near Russia’s short border with North Korea. “We are concerned by the fact that the site in North Korea, where it carries out its nuclear tests, is located quite close to the Russian border,” he said.
In Iran, Leader vows firm action over jail crimes
The Leader of the Islamic Revolution has stressed that no rights of Iran's post-election prisoners will be trampled upon.
Ayatollah Seyyed Ali Khamenei moved to address concerns over the issue, saying that the Islamic establishment will not fall short of expectations in dealing with those who have mistreated the detainees.
In reference to the allegations of jail rape and alleged evidence of the issue, Ayatollah Khamenei said that in dealing with issues of such "great sensitivity" the authorities should not act based on "speculations and rumors".
"In issues with such great sensitivity, the Judiciary should judge based on irrefutable evidence; even if there is evidence supporting certain rumors, such evidence cannot be a base for judgment," Ayatollah Khamenei added.
Acknowledging that crimes have also taken place during a raid on a Tehran University dormitory, Ayatollah Khamenei said "a special file has been opened on the matter so that the wrong-doers are punished regardless of their [governmental] posts."
The Leader, however, warned against publicizing the matter with political motivation, saying "an order has been imposed since the initial days for careful, determined action on the matter."
Abbas to hold elections if Hamas talks fail
Acting Palestinian Authority Chief Mahmoud Abbas says he will call for a parliamentary election in January should reconciliation efforts with the rival Hamas movement fail. "We are still offering the same proposal, but if it's refused, then the sole alternative is to go to presidential and parliamentary elections," Abbas said, referring to a unity government including his Fatah party and Hamas.
Abbas made the remarks while speaking at the first meeting of the Palestinian National Council (PNC) in 13 years in the West Bank city of Ramallah on Wednesday, Reuters reported.
Hamas, however, says it will not accept a new poll in January unless a "package deal" is reached with Abbas's Fatah party. The rival factions have so far failed to agree on how the composition of a unity government would be.
|
